21 July 2007

You Can Throw One Set of Bums Out, But That Only Brings to Fore the Other Set of Bums

(via Instapundit)

Buyers remorse for the 2006 election? According to Zogby (take with a grain of salt, in other words), the Democrat lead Congress is less popular with the 'very liberal' (10%) than they are with 'very conservative' (14%) or 'conservative' (14%)', with 'liberal' (21%) they're doing better, but not exactly great.

Not mentioned by Don Surber in the above linked article is the specific polling on the immigration issue. Congress managed a 3% approval, President Bush enjoys triple the approval rating, a still dismal 9%.

Is this an opportunity to do something in 2008?

Unfortunately, no, people on both sides of the spectrum HATE the Congress as a whole, but folks still tend to love their own personal Congress Critter. Ideally, each incumbent in the House would have a serious, well-financed, web savvy challenger in the primaries. Most districts are gerrymandered to the point where party switching is unlikely. That's why the switch in 2006 to a Democratic majority is impressive, and vulnerable. Most of their gains were in districts designed to favor Republicans, and the Democrats who grabbed seats from Republicans did so by running as moderates. They'll be attacked in 2008 and accused of being with the anti-American San Francisco Liberal Pelosi wing of the Defeat Party. That means trouble for the Democrats in 2008.

Their vocal base, and media enablers are likely to do more damage than help to the Democratic party in 2008. The Dems are dreaming of gaining even more seats, and getting control of both the presidency and strengthening their majority in both houses. But given the polls, that seems unlikely. More likely, the Dems lose the House, the GOP keeps the White House (still don't see which states flip from Red to Blue in 2008 given Obama or Clinton as standard bearer), and the Senate could go either way.

The gnashing of teeth in the press should the GOP regain both majorities and keep the executive branch in 2008 would be highly entertaining.

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